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Document theses: The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
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Year: 2025
Document: The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
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Source: published Qaz.Vision theses Open QazGeo
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
From day one of the protests, security forces indiscriminately used excessive force against the crowds. President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, characterizing the protesters as 'bandits' and 'foreign-trained terrorists,' issued a chilling order – to 'shoot to kill without warning.'
Токаев отдал приказ стрелять на поражение по протестующим, назвав их бандитами и террористами.
Context
Описание событий Кровавого января 2022 года, жестокость силовиков.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
Despite numerous calls, Tokayev refused an international investigation, and the topic of the Bloody January victims remains taboo and suppressed.
Токаев отказался от международного расследования январских событий, тема жертв табуирована.
Context
Последствия Кровавого января, отсутствие прозрачности.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
In March 2022, Tokayev announced a reform agenda aimed at entering the era of justice – creating a 'New Kazakhstan' – which was intended to renew the state apparatus and liberalize the party system.
Токаев объявил реформы для создания 'Нового Казахстана' с обновлением госаппарата и либерализацией партийной системы.
Context
Начало реформаторской повестки после консолидации власти.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
The 'New Kazakhstan' technically began with amendments to the constitution through a nationwide referendum in June 2022. Under Tokayev, the fundamental law was revised to shift toward a presidential system with a stronger parliament.
Конституционная реформа 2022 года усилила президентскую систему и парламент.
Context
Конституционный референдум как основа реформ.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
The amendments also annulled a law granting Nazarbayev immunity from prosecution and protection of his property.
Поправки отменили закон о неприкосновенности Назарбаева.
Context
Символический шаг по ограничению влияния Назарбаева.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
Serik Beysembaev and Aliya Tlegenova’s September 2024 analysis, published by the Carnegie Center, thoroughly examines the essence of Tokayev’s reforms. The authors argue that these reforms were primarily designed to ensure the regime’s survival rather than to promote genuine democratization.
Аналитики Carnegie Center считают, что реформы Токаева направлены на выживание режима, а не на демократизацию.
Context
Критическая оценка реформ внешними экспертами.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
The minimal timeframe for the presidential elections effectively excluded serious candidates from participating. Tokayev announced the elections on September 1, 2022, and voting took place two-and-a-half months later.
Короткие сроки президентских выборов 2022 года исключили серьезных кандидатов.
Context
Критика избирательного процесса как недемократичного.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
Many international observers characterized the event as 'elections without a choice.'
Международные наблюдатели назвали выборы 'выборами без выбора'.
Context
Оценка президентских выборов 2022 года.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
The OSCE reported violations in the parliamentary polls.
ОБСЕ зафиксировала нарушения на парламентских выборах.
Context
Парламентские выборы 2023 года.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
Key figures, such as Karim Massimov – the former head of the National Security Committee (KNB), who was sentenced to 18 years for treason – became the first targets.
Карим Масимов приговорен к 18 годам за госизмену.
Context
Чистка элиты после января 2022 года.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
However, a controversial practice emerged that allowed convicted oligarchs to negotiate their freedom by returning stolen assets to the state budget. For instance, Satybaldy was released on parole after returning assets worth 732 billion tenge ($1.6 billion), while the latter was even reinstated as president of the National Paralympic Committee.
Олигархи получают свободу в обмен на возврат активов, как Сатыбалды, вернувший 732 млрд тенге.
Context
Критика практики 'активы в обмен на свободу'.
February 28, 2025
The Diplomat: Tokayev’s ‘New Kazakhstan’: Rebranding the Old Guard?
These examples not only expose deep contradictions in the justice system under Tokayev but also underscore a lack of genuine political will to dismantle the system of crony capitalism.
Примеры показывают отсутствие политической воли для борьбы с клановым капитализмом.
Context
Вывод о неэффективности борьбы с коррупцией.