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Theses and quotes: Касым-Жомарт Токаев
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Document theses: Chatham House: Kazakhstan referendum: The new constitution demonstrates a diminishing interest in Western values
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Theme: F. Foreign policy and sovereignty
Document: Chatham House: Kazakhstan referendum: The new constitution demonstrates ...
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Source: Qaz.Vision thesis topic annotations Open theses
Both Russia and China would favour continuity in their relations with Kazakhstan, viewing Tokayev as a productive partner.
Russia, in particular, views Tokayev as a guarantor against a wave of anti-Russian popular sentiment.
China is likely to welcome the transition to a more stable and institutionalized system more akin to its own.
But Russia will be wary that the new constitution cements Kazakhstan’s sovereignty and territorial integrity in the face of increasing Russian attempts to assert its influence.
As the West races to secure critical minerals in the region, Kazakhstan’s new constitution will pose a challenge for Western countries that still adhere to the values-based order.
Countries with a more transactional way of doing business – such as the US – could be at an advantage, at least in the short term.